News Bulletin
Tuesday, July 14, 2026
Evening Edition
Economic Numbers:
|
Time |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Tuesday, July 14, 2026 |
||||
|
8:15 |
ADP Employment Change Weekly |
19.80K |
|
21.00K |
|
8:30 |
CPI (MoM) (Jun) |
-0.40% |
-0.10% |
0.50% |
|
8:30 |
Core CPI (MoM)
(Jun) |
0.00% |
0.20% |
0.20% |
|
8:30 |
CPI (YoY) (Jun) |
3.50% |
3.80% |
4.20% |
|
8:30 |
Core CPI (YoY)
(Jun) |
2.60% |
2.80% |
2.90% |
|
16:00 |
TIC Net Long-Term Transactions (May) |
232.7B |
128.5B |
104.8B |
Indices
|
|
CLOSE |
50 DMA |
200 DMA |
|
DJIA |
52,508.66 |
51,028.50 |
48,670.08 |
|
NASDAQ |
26,107.01 |
26,096.86 |
23,826.22 |
|
S&P 500 |
7,543.87 |
7,447.44 |
6,973.86 |
Earnings Calendar:
(EPS: Earning Per Share / Rev: Revenue / Mkt Cap: market Capital/ BMO: Before Market Opening /AMC:
After Market Close)
|
COMPANY |
EPS Act |
EPS
Fore |
Rev
Act |
Rev
Fore |
Mkt Cap |
Time |
|
JPMorganJPM:US |
7.7 |
5.42 |
57.35B |
48.78B |
$981.98B |
AM |
|
Bank Of AmericaBAC:US |
1.21 |
1.1 |
31.6B |
30.19B |
$466.36B |
AM |
|
Goldman SachsGS:US |
20.98 |
13.74 |
20.34B |
15.73B |
$364.32B |
AM |
|
CitigroupC:US |
3.15 |
2.67 |
24.77B |
23.33B |
$253.66B |
AM |
|
IBMIBM:US |
2.93 |
3.01 |
17.2B |
17.84B |
$196.76B |
PM |
|
Wells FargoWFC:US |
2 |
1.71 |
22.62B |
21.83B |
$144.86B |
AM |
|
FastenalFAST:US |
0.33 |
0.33 |
2.39B |
2.34B |
$51.88B |
AM |
Market News:
U.S. stocks on Tuesday ended higher, as
investors sifted through a host of developments including key economic data on
inflation, a Federal Reserve Congressional testimony, a continuously evolving
situation in the Middle East, and quarterly updates from household names such
as Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and IBM.
The benchmark S&P 500 index climbed
0.4% to close at 7,544.63 points, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite added
0.9% to settle at 26,107.01 points. The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average
concluded just above the flatline at 52,508.66
points.
U.S. consumer prices moderate in June
The spotlight in the morning was on the
U.S. consumer price index (CPI) report for June.
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the headline CPI slipped 0.4% M/M,
representing the largest one-month decrease since April 2020. Core CPI, which
strips out volatile food and energy components, was flat in June after rising
0.2% M/M in May. Economists had expected the headline CPI to fall 0.1% and the
core CPI to rise 0.3%.
On a Y/Y basis in June, headline CPI
ticked up 3.5% and core CPI increased 2.6%. Both figures were lower than the
estimates for a rise of 3.8% and 2.9%, respectively, and decelerated from May.
As widely expected, the fall in the
headline CPI mainly reflected a slide in gasoline prices, which declined 9.7%
M/M in June, the biggest one-month decrease since August 2022. That in turn
helped overall energy prices slip 5.7% M/M in June,
the largest one-month loss since April 2020.
The slump in gas prices was driven by
the U.S. and Iran signing an interim memorandum of understanding (MoU) in mid-June that led to reopening of the Strait of
Hormuz, a vital waterway for a fifth of the world’s oil and gas. Improved
shipping activity through the chokepoint eased supply concerns and led to Brent
crude futures, the global oil benchmark, sliding more than 20% last month.
Inflation dynamics have rapidly shifted
this month, however, amid the biggest escalation in tensions between Washington
and Tehran since they inked their MoU.
The two sides have exchanged several
rounds of strikes over Iran’s reported attacks on commercial oil tankers
transiting the strait, while President Donald Trump has reimposed
an American naval blockade on the country’s ports and coastline. That move led
to Brent surging more than 9% alone on Monday.
Still, the cooler June inflation report
gives the Fed some breathing room in terms of tightening monetary policy.
"For the Fed, the June CPI report
likely provides cover to hold rates steady at the decision late this month. One
of the bellwether FOMC governors, Chris Waller, stated in a speech yesterday
that the Fed would need to see several cooler inflation prints to refrain from
raising rates in the second half of 2026. The June CPI report is a big step in
that direction," Bill Adams, chief U.S. economist at Fifth Third
Commercial Bank, said.
"The outlook for inflation in July
is less promising. Gas prices have jumped since the re-escalation of the Iran
conflict last week. WTI crude is back over $80 today for the first time in a
month," he added.
Echoing Waller, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee on Tuesday said
that while the June report showed encouraging signs, one month of data was not sufficient
to determine if inflation was returning to the central bank’s 2% target.
Warsh reiterates fight against inflation at Congressional
testimony
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh
on Tuesday also remarked on the June CPI update, calling it "positive
relative to expectations."
Warsh commented at his testimony to the House Financial
Services Committee. The hearing comes at a crucial time for the central bank.
In June, it held its key policy rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, but struck a
decidedly hawkish tone by guiding for interest rate hikes this year, largely
due to inflation running well above its 2% target. Warsh
in his public appearances and remarks ahead of the testimony had stuck to that
hawkish tone.
"Inflation is a choice," Warsh said in the testimony, adding that monetary
policymakers "need to choose lower prices." The new Fed chief
reasserted that the central bank would "deliver price stability"
through a "function of commitment, responsibility, and tools."
Additionally, Warsh
once again pushed back against forward guidance. In June and later in another
public appearance, he had said the Fed would stop issuing such guidance moving
forward.
"If we were to give you my
projection today about what we’ll do when we meet in two weeks, what we’ll do
over the course of the year, we then find ourselves sort of taking information
that’s consistent with our priors and rejecting information that’s
inconsistent," Warsh said, referring to the
Fed’s upcoming monetary policy committee meeting on July 28-29.
Trump scraps plan for 20% Hormuz
protection reimbursement fee
Turning away from inflation and the Fed
to the Middle East, President Donald Trump on Tuesday said a "full"
blockade on ships entering and exiting Iranian ports will be reimposed, and that the U.S. will enter into trade and
investment deals with Gulf countries instead of getting a 20% reimbursement fee
for protecting ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
The U.S. leader had first floated the
idea of being reimbursed on Monday. Trump told reporters that after his
announcement, he was contacted by Gulf nations.
"I put It
out yesterday, I thought it was good. I was called by different people,
different countries, kings and emirs ... And they said ’we’d love to do it a
different way. We’d love to invest in the United States with billions and
billions of dollars,’" Trump said at a bilateral meeting with the Prime
Minister of Iraq.
"’We would like to invest
tremendously in the United States as opposed to charging a fee.’ And I liked
that actually, because I don’t think anybody should be able to charge a fee for
the strait or for any other strait relationship, in terms of other sections of
the world. I don’t think anybody should be really in that position. But we were
doing it as a reimbursement," the president said.
IBM craters, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan
advance
Shifting the focus away from the Middle
East, there were several notable moves among individual stocks on Tuesday as
the second quarter earnings season started in earnest.
The top five U.S. banks by consolidated
assets highlighted today’s slate. Number one and two lenders JPMorgan and Bank
of America comfortably beat top- and bottom-line estimates, helped by a surge
in trading activity and dealmaking.
Meanwhile, Citi,
Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs, the number three to five U.S. lenders by
consolidated assets, easily topped profit and revenue expectations as well. The
banks were also helped by raking in fees from their roles in managing SpaceX’s record-breaking initial public offering.
The stocks of the five banks put in a
mixed performance after the earnings reports. JPMorgan ended 2.5% higher, while
Goldman Sachs surged 9.1%, buoying the blue-chip Dow. Bank of America gained
1.9%, but Wells Fargo slipped 2.7%, and Citi shed
5.3%.
Countering the boost to the Dow from JPM
and GS was a more than 25% slide in shares of IBM. The legacy tech firm
unveiled preliminary quarterly revenue that fell short of the consensus,
largely due to an unexpected, aggressive reprioritization of enterprise IT
budgets toward hardware infrastructure.
IBM noted that in the final weeks of
June, clients abruptly redirected their quarterly capex
away from traditional software and mainframe cycles to pile cash into servers,
storage, and memory.
For internal use only