News Bulletin
Friday, August 28, 2026
Evening Edition
Economic Numbers:
|
Time |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Friday, August 28, 2026 |
||||
|
9:45 |
Chicago PMI (Aug) |
47.10 |
57.90 |
57.60 |
|
10:00 |
Fed Governor Warsh
Speaks |
|
|
|
|
13:00 |
U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count |
447.00 |
454.00 |
452.00 |
|
13:00 |
U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count |
588.00 |
|
588.00 |
Indices
|
|
CLOSE |
50 DMA |
200 DMA |
|
DJIA |
53,559.99 |
52,797.00 |
49,714.19 |
|
NASDAQ |
26,402.42 |
25,959.22 |
24,315.75 |
|
S&P 500 |
7,711.76 |
7,563.83 |
7,117.41 |
Earnings Calendar:
(EPS: Earning Per Share / Rev: Revenue / Mkt Cap: market Capital/ BMO: Before Market Opening /AMC:
After Market Close)
|
COMPANY |
EPS Act |
EPS
Fore |
Rev
Act |
Rev
Fore |
Mkt Cap |
Time |
|
AimcoAIV:US |
- |
- |
- |
- |
$6.71B |
PM |
|
HUBHUBG:US |
- |
0.29 |
- |
941.12M |
$2.49B |
|
Market News:
Wall Street on Friday ended mostly
lower, as an overall hawkish speech from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole conference outweighed gains in
consumer discretionary and communication services stocks. A majority of the
Magnificent Seven club also advanced, helping cap losses.
On a weekly basis, U.S. stocks notched
gains, helped largely by a rally on Thursday sparked by blockbuster quarterly
results and guidance from the world’s largest company, Nvidia.
The benchmark S&P 500 fell 0.3% to
close at 7,709.18 points, while the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average
settled just under the flatline at 53,559.34 points.
The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite slipped 0.5% to conclude at 26,402.42 points.
For the week, the S&P and Dow rose
0.5% each, while the Nasdaq
added 0.9%.
Warsh says inflation trends have not ’meaningfully
improved’
The Fed’s chief’s much-awaited keynote
address at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium saw him touch upon
topics ranging from artificial intelligence to forward guidance to a summary of
current economic conditions. Notably, he said underlying inflation trends in
the U.S. had not "meaningfully improved" and reasserted that the
central bank’s focus should be on delivering price stability.
Warsh’s speech came at a complicated time for the Fed.
Sticky inflation data recently, elevated oil prices amid a seemingly
never-ending conflict between the U.S. and Iran, and a surprisingly weak read
on nonfarm payrolls have led to ructions in the Federal Open Market Committee
(FOMC), with three regional presidents dissenting with July’s move to hold
interest rates steady.
"As of now, I believe the labor markets are consistent with full employment. But on
the price-stability side of our mandate, the numbers are more concerning,"
Warsh said in prepared remarks.
The central bank has a long-term
inflation target of 2%, and prefers to track the personal consumption
expenditures (PCE) price index to measure price pressures. Data on Wednesday
showed the metric rising 3.7% Y/Y in July, while the core gauge - which strips
out food and energy - ticked up 3.3% Y/Y. The PCE price index was last below 2%
in February 2021.
"The Fed’s preferred measure of
inflation, the 12-month change in the PCE price index, stands at 3.7 percent,
while the six-month change is 4.1 percent. The comparable measures from the
consumer price index (CPI) are also elevated, as are the core measures of both
PCE and CPI inflation," Warsh said.
"None of these measures are
perfect, but they all tell a similar story: Inflation is running above our 2
percent target. So the Fed’s predominant focus right now should be on
prices," he added.
The keynote address was perceived as
hawkish, with traders raising their expectations for a quarter-point hike by
the FOMC in September. As per the CME FedWatch tool,
the odds of such a hike now stood at more than 59%, up from about 35% the
previous day.
"Generally hawkish comments,"
Eric Rosengren, former president of the Boston Fed,
observed.
Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields turned
higher after the speech, as bonds were dumped. The benchmark 10-year yield was
last up 5.3 basis points to 4.725%, while the more rate-sensitive 2-year yield
climbed 12.2 basis points to 4.354%. The bond market has been on a roller coaster
recently, with longer-term maturities gripped in a sell-off driven by inflation
jitters, corporate debt issuance concerns, and worries over the ballooning U.S.
national debt.
A surprise intervention move by the
Treasury Department last week has had little effect to cap yields. While
climbing bond yields generally act like interest rate hikes as they drive up
borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, news that U.S. debt had crossed
$40 trillion caused fiscal skepticism, and in such an
environment investors looked to move capital out of fiat currencies and into
hard assets such as gold or cryptocurrency - a
strategy known as the debasement trade.
Indeed, the dollar slipped nearly 1%
last week, while gold and crypto rallied. But the dollar bounced back this
week, especially on Friday on Warsh’s hawkish speech,
while both gold and crypto cooled their advance.
"Chair Warsh
delivered a hawkish message at Jackson Hole and investors are preparing for the
possibility of rate hikes. Gold, silver, and Bitcoin,
which have rallied in the past week on debasement trade rejuvenation, are
correcting today," Michael O’Rourke, chief market strategist at Jones
Trading, told Investing.com.
Nvidia helps Wall Street to weekly gains
Turning away from the Fed, Wall Street
posted its fourth weekly advance in five. The climb was primarily driven by Nvidia’s nearly 9% surge on Thursday which added over $440
billion to the stock’s market capitalization.
The poster child of the AI boom, the
firm reported quarterly revenue of $92.22 billion, a surge of 106% Y/Y. Even
more eye-catching than the top-line figure was the guidance. Nvidia sees current quarter revenue of $108 billion, plus
or minus 2%, and on the earnings conference call finance chief Colette Kress
said fiscal year 2028 revenue was anticipated to grow about 70% Y/Y, while
highlighting that this was a supply-constrained outlook.
The performance provided a shot in the
arm for the AI trade, which had seen a roller coaster of a year coming into the
earnings report. A stellar rally over April, May, and June that helped Wall
Street shake off the Middle East conflict and return
to record levels gave way to a spectacular crash in July due to concerns about
uncertain returns on the billions of dollars being spent by mega-cap companies
on AI infrastructure.
Nvidia dipped 4.6% on Friday, but its Magnificent Seven
peers caught up. Meta Platforms, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon gained between 1.2% to 4%.
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